F1 WINNER PREDICTOR
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2026 Hungarian Grand Prix · Round 11 · 2026-07-26
Hungaroring, Budapest, Hungary
(qualifying hasn't happened — prediction uses form + track history only)
PICK: Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes) — 28.3% of field share (calibrated P(win): 26.2%)
# DRIVER CONSTRUCTOR GRID Δ CONFIDENCE
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1 Andrea Kimi Antonelli Mercedes - - ████████████████████████ 28.3%
+ starting near the front, + team consistent podium scorers, + strong win rate this season
2 Max Verstappen Red Bull - - █████████████░░░░░░░░░░░ 15.8%
+ starting near the front, + team's season finishes strong, + strong at this circuit
3 Oscar Piastri McLaren - - █████████████░░░░░░░░░░░ 15.3%
+ starting near the front, + strong at this circuit, + team's season finishes strong
4 Lewis Hamilton Ferrari - - ████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 14.4%
+ starting near the front, + team consistent podium scorers, + strong recent finishes
5 Lando Norris McLaren - - ████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 10.0%
+ starting near the front, + strong at this circuit, − strong recent finishes
6 Isack Hadjar Red Bull - - ████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 9.8%
7 George Russell Mercedes - - ██░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 2.0%
8 Charles Leclerc Ferrari - - █░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 0.6%
9 Pierre Gasly Alpine F1 Team - - ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 0.6%
10 Liam Lawson RB F1 Team - - ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 0.5%
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walk-forward eval: top-1 50.3% · top-3 83.6% · pole baseline 53.0%
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Δ = grid - predicted finish (▲ gains, ▼ drops, = no change, - no grid yet)
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